Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 50.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 93.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 69.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Eichel
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Eichel
Stenlund
Last 8: Eichel 6-2 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
0
Eichel
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
Eichel
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (852)
56.2% (605)
-8.4%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
53.2% (47)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
51.8% (305)
-7.0%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Eichel is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Eichel shoots right. Stenlund is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Home / Away
Eichel
Stenlund
Home
47.7% (509)
57.0% (446)
Away
48.3% (493)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Eichel
Stenlund
P1
49.5%
55.4%
P2
48.9%
53.2%
P3
46.7%
56.2%
OT
37.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
52.6%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
58.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |