Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Kempe 40.7% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 59.1%
Defensive zone
Kempe 65.8%
Neutral zone
Kempe 62.4%
Result
Mario Kempe favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Eichel
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eichel
Kempe
Last 5: Eichel 2-3 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Kempe
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Kempe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
0
2
Eichel
Kempe
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
38.7% (380)
+6.0%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
33.3% (3)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
31.3% (16)
+7.0%
On power play, Eichel has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. Kempe is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Eichel
Kempe
Home
45.7% (4,899)
40.1% (177)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
36.9% (222)
By Period
Eichel
Kempe
P1
45.4%
34.7%
P2
45.8%
40.4%
P3
44.2%
38.8%
OT
44.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Mario Kempe |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 17:11 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |