Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Brown 54.6% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 79.4%
Defensive zone
Brown 79.6%
Neutral zone
Brown 52.9%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Eichel
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Eichel
Brown
Last 7: Eichel 3-4 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
0
Eichel
Brown
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
3
Eichel
Brown
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Eichel
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
56.5% (726)
-11.8%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
62.5% (8)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
47.8% (136)
-9.5%
On even strength, Brown has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Eichel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,909).
Eichel shoots right. Brown is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Eichel
Brown
Home
45.7% (4,899)
57.4% (364)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
53.6% (506)
By Period
Eichel
Brown
P1
45.4%
51.4%
P2
45.8%
54.6%
P3
44.2%
58.8%
OT
44.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |