Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Eichel wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Carpenter 48.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 84.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 56.6%
Neutral zone
Eichel 54.4%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Eichel
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Eichel
Carpenter
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Eichel
Carpenter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
5
Eichel
Carpenter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
2
5
Eichel
Carpenter
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
49.6% (2,027)
-4.9%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
41.5% (41)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
43.9% (467)
-5.6%
On power play, Eichel has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Eichel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,909).
Eichel shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Eichel
Carpenter
Home
45.7% (4,899)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Eichel
Carpenter
P1
45.4%
49.6%
P2
45.8%
47.7%
P3
44.2%
48.0%
OT
44.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |