Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 42.4% vs Carpenter 50.2% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 86.2%
Defensive zone
Eichel 69.7%
Neutral zone
Eichel 68.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Eichel
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Eichel
Carpenter
Last 8: Eichel 1-7 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
3
Eichel
Carpenter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Eichel
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Eichel
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (791)
48.4% (314)
-6.8%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (9)
57.0% (79)
-57.0%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Eichel is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Eichel shoots right. Carpenter is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Eichel
Carpenter
Home
44.6% (408)
55.8% (197)
Away
38.6% (428)
44.8% (201)
By Period
Eichel
Carpenter
P1
43.0%
48.3%
P2
40.7%
47.8%
P3
41.7%
54.6%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |