Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 40.2% vs Karlsson 45.8% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 81.8%
Defensive zone
Eichel 67.2%
Neutral zone
Eichel 71.8%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Eichel
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Eichel
Karlsson
Last 5: Eichel 1-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Eichel
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Eichel
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (769)
47.2% (786)
-8.7%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
54.5% (11)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
35.6% (163)
+6.1%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Eichel is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Eichel shoots right. Karlsson is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Eichel
Karlsson
Home
41.2% (417)
46.4% (478)
Away
36.4% (379)
44.2% (482)
By Period
Eichel
Karlsson
P1
41.1%
44.8%
P2
39.9%
45.6%
P3
34.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
37.7%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
38.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 18:28 | Neutral | William Karlsson |