Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 47.3% vs Girgensons 42.9% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 81.9%
Defensive zone
Eichel 61.4%
Neutral zone
Eichel 69.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Eichel
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eichel
Girgensons
Last 6: Eichel 4-2 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
1
Eichel
Girgensons
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Eichel
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (639)
36.2% (94)
+10.7%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
0.0% (1)
+51.9%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
41.2% (17)
+2.1%
On power play, Eichel has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Eichel is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Eichel shoots right. Girgensons is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Eichel
Girgensons
Home
44.4% (385)
38.0% (50)
Away
49.6% (373)
35.5% (62)
By Period
Eichel
Girgensons
P1
48.0%
43.2%
P2
49.0%
34.3%
P3
45.0%
32.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
48.0%▲
46.5%
47.0%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |