Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.2% vs Celebrini 48.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 78.9%
Defensive zone
Finley 70.2%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 56.8%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Finley
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Finley
Celebrini
Last 10: Finley 5-5 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
4
Finley
Celebrini
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
1
Finley
Celebrini
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
4
2
Finley
Celebrini
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (279)
47.8% (993)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
54.1% (111)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
56.0% (25)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Finley shoots right. Celebrini is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Finley
Celebrini
Home
53.8% (199)
48.5% (538)
Away
44.9% (127)
48.7% (591)
By Period
Finley
Celebrini
P1
52.8%
48.1%
P2
47.5%
46.8%
P3
51.3%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.3%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 05:28 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 13:27 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |