Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.8%). Finley wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.8% vs Mitchell 50.8% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Finley 54.0%
Defensive zone
Finley 53.1%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 52.0%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Finley
Mitchell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (337)
50.7% (2,523)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
54.3% (35)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (48)
50.7% (473)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Finley is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Finley shoots right. Mitchell is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (927).
Home / Away
Finley
Mitchell
Home
52.1% (234)
52.1% (1,521)
Away
49.4% (166)
49.5% (1,512)
By Period
Finley
Mitchell
P1
51.3%
54.8%
P2
49.3%
48.1%
P3
52.6%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
52.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.8%