Scouting Report
Connor Bunnaman holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bunnaman on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Bunnaman wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bunnaman 52.0% vs Hughes 37.4% (+18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bunnaman 62.2%
Defensive zone
Bunnaman 91.1%
Neutral zone
Bunnaman 85.9%
Result
Connor Bunnaman favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Bunnaman
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bunnaman
Hughes
Last 7: Bunnaman 5-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Bunnaman
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bunnaman
5
1
Bunnaman
Hughes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bunnaman
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (100)
35.7% (569)
+17.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
33.3% (36)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
16.7% (6)
+83.3%
On penalty kill, Bunnaman has a +83.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Bunnaman is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Bunnaman shoots left. Hughes is 31.1% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Bunnaman
Hughes
Home
56.8% (44)
37.8% (333)
Away
51.7% (60)
32.4% (278)
By Period
Bunnaman
Hughes
P1
55.9%
38.8%
P2
48.6%
28.3%
P3
57.6%
38.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
31.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bunnaman
52.0%▼
54.5%
53.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |