Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.1% vs 35.2%). Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — DeBrusk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs DeBrusk 39.8% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 53.8%
Defensive zone
DeBrusk 51.0%
Neutral zone
DeBrusk 53.8%
Result
Jake DeBrusk favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Hughes
DeBrusk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
DeBrusk
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
37.6% (181)
-1.6%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
29.0% (31)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
20.0% (15)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
DeBrusk shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. DeBrusk is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Hughes
DeBrusk
Home
36.8% (1,670)
40.0% (100)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
31.5% (127)
By Period
Hughes
DeBrusk
P1
36.9%
31.7%
P2
33.6%
35.9%
P3
38.1%
41.9%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
34.2%
32.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
DeBrusk
44.0%▲
33.5%
35.2%