Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.1% vs 36.1%). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hayes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Hayes 40.2% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 64.1%
Defensive zone
Hughes 75.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Hughes
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
36.1% (202)
-0.1%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
34.3% (35)
+4.5%
On power play, Hughes has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Hayes is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Hughes
Hayes
Home
36.8% (1,670)
34.7% (124)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
37.7% (114)
By Period
Hughes
Hayes
P1
36.9%
38.6%
P2
33.6%
26.5%
P3
38.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
34.2%
30.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Hayes
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.1%