Scouting Report
Luke Adam holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Adam shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Adam 42.8% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 71.6%
Defensive zone
Adam 68.9%
Neutral zone
Adam 50.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Hughes
Adam
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Adam
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
40.3% (377)
-4.3%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
50.0% (26)
-11.2%
On power play, Adam has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Adam shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Adam is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Hughes
Adam
Home
36.8% (1,670)
44.9% (187)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
37.6% (218)
By Period
Hughes
Adam
P1
36.9%
42.1%
P2
33.6%
37.9%
P3
38.1%
43.2%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
34.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
41.0%