Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 95.1%
Defensive zone
Hughes 78.5%
Neutral zone
Hughes 92.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Hughes
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Hughes
Jankowski
Last 10: Hughes 1-9 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
8
Hughes
Jankowski
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
3
Hughes
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
51.5% (3,462)
-15.5%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
53.7% (95)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
42.8% (528)
-11.8%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Home / Away
Hughes
Jankowski
Home
36.8% (1,670)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
Hughes
Jankowski
P1
36.9%
50.0%
P2
33.6%
51.2%
P3
38.1%
50.2%
OT
37.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
34.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |