Scouting Report
Mattias Janmark holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Janmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Janmark 40.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 50.8%
Defensive zone
Janmark 66.8%
Neutral zone
Janmark 55.5%
Result
Mattias Janmark favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Hughes
Janmark
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hughes
Janmark
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Janmark
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Janmark
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
39.7% (907)
-3.7%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
32.5% (40)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
36.1% (72)
-5.1%
On power play, Hughes has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Janmark shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Janmark is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Hughes
Janmark
Home
36.8% (1,670)
39.3% (463)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
39.0% (556)
By Period
Hughes
Janmark
P1
36.9%
41.2%
P2
33.6%
35.7%
P3
38.1%
41.3%
OT
37.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
34.2%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |