Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings). Hughes wins 34.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Sheahan 50.1% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Sheahan leads 24-13 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 94.2%
Defensive zone
Hughes 76.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 92.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Hughes
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
24
(37 meetings)
13
24
Hughes
Sheahan
Last 10: Hughes 4-6 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
7
2
Hughes
Sheahan
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
2
8
Hughes
Sheahan
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
4
14
Hughes
Sheahan
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (2,772)
51.0% (4,968)
-15.1%
Power Play
39.0% (223)
55.6% (322)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
44.3% (1,068)
-13.3%
On power play, Sheahan has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Hughes is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,858).
Hughes shoots left. Sheahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,993).
Home / Away
Hughes
Sheahan
Home
36.7% (1,596)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
35.3% (1,441)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Hughes
Sheahan
P1
36.3%
51.3%
P2
33.7%
51.2%
P3
38.3%
48.1%
OT
37.5%
35.6%
Final 5 min
34.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
36.0%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 25, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |