Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs McBain 44.7% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 95.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 73.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 88.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Jenner
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Jenner
McBain
Last 10: Jenner 8-2 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
1
Jenner
McBain
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
45.3% (675)
+8.9%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
50.0% (16)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
37.6% (149)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Jenner
McBain
Home
56.7% (693)
45.5% (437)
Away
52.7% (693)
42.4% (403)
By Period
Jenner
McBain
P1
57.1%
43.5%
P2
54.1%
44.0%
P3
53.0%
45.0%
OT
61.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |