Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Glendening 51.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 62.0%
Defensive zone
Glendening 72.6%
Neutral zone
Glendening 54.7%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
McBain
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McBain
Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Glendening
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
53.5% (404)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
100.0% (4)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
46.8% (141)
-9.8%
On power play, Glendening has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. McBain is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McBain shoots left. Glendening is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
McBain
Glendening
Home
52.2% (289)
46.9% (241)
Away
50.0% (316)
56.2% (308)
By Period
McBain
Glendening
P1
52.6%
50.6%
P2
53.6%
51.8%
P3
47.1%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jack McBain |