Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McBain wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Kadri 49.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 60.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 74.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 59.7%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
McBain
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
McBain
Kadri
Last 10: McBain 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McBain
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
2
McBain
Kadri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (504)
49.4% (688)
+3.2%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
52.2% (67)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (42)
38.5% (13)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McBain is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
McBain shoots left. Kadri is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
McBain
Kadri
Home
51.8% (251)
49.1% (407)
Away
50.5% (307)
49.9% (361)
By Period
McBain
Kadri
P1
50.9%
56.4%
P2
53.9%
51.7%
P3
48.1%
41.4%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
51.1%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |