Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Kadri 47.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 54.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 78.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 68.2%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
McBain
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
McBain
Kadri
Last 10: McBain 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McBain
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
2
McBain
Kadri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
47.4% (821)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
48.8% (86)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
38.5% (13)
-1.5%
On power play, McBain has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
McBain
Kadri
Home
52.2% (289)
46.6% (487)
Away
50.0% (316)
48.3% (433)
By Period
McBain
Kadri
P1
52.6%
52.7%
P2
53.6%
50.2%
P3
47.1%
40.2%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |