Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Hintz 58.0% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 83.7%
Defensive zone
Hintz 54.7%
Neutral zone
Hintz 61.8%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 79.3%
20.7%
79.3%
McBain
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McBain
Hintz
Last 5: McBain 3-2 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McBain
Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
58.7% (530)
-6.6%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
59.4% (170)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
66.7% (27)
-29.7%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
McBain
Hintz
Home
52.2% (289)
60.2% (354)
Away
50.0% (316)
58.2% (373)
By Period
McBain
Hintz
P1
52.6%
58.4%
P2
53.6%
59.8%
P3
47.1%
58.2%
OT
50.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
54.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |