Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Sanford 39.9% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 65.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 91.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 77.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
McBain
Sanford
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McBain
Sanford
Last 7: McBain 5-2 Sanford
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Sanford
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Sanford
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
2
McBain
Sanford
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Sanford
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
36.2% (268)
+11.8%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
38.5% (13)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
50.0% (2)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Sanford has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sanford shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
McBain shoots left. Sanford is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
McBain
Sanford
Home
49.0% (1,359)
37.3% (150)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
35.3% (133)
By Period
McBain
Sanford
P1
46.7%
36.8%
P2
47.5%
33.0%
P3
45.6%
39.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
38.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Sanford
36.0%▬
35.0%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Zachary Sanford |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Zachary Sanford |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Jack McBain |