Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McBain wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Roslovic 45.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 81.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 69.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 53.3%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
McBain
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McBain
Roslovic
Last 8: McBain 5-3 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
0
2
McBain
Roslovic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Roslovic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
1
McBain
Roslovic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
45.8% (729)
-0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
42.9% (105)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
38.2% (55)
-0.6%
On power play, McBain has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
McBain shoots left. Roslovic is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
McBain
Roslovic
Home
45.5% (437)
45.4% (447)
Away
42.4% (403)
44.6% (442)
By Period
McBain
Roslovic
P1
43.5%
43.2%
P2
44.0%
44.7%
P3
45.0%
47.2%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 01:11 | Neutral | Jack McBain |