Scouting Report
Jayson Megna holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Megna on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Megna shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Megna 49.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 77.8%
Defensive zone
Megna 75.4%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 53.8%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Roslovic
Megna
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Roslovic
Megna
Last 7: Roslovic 3-4 Megna
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Megna
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Megna
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Megna
0
3
Roslovic
Megna
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Megna
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
49.1% (401)
-4.2%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
50.0% (4)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
47.6% (42)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Megna has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Megna shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,065).
Roslovic shoots right. Megna is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Megna
Home
44.0% (1,737)
49.3% (227)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
48.6% (220)
By Period
Roslovic
Megna
P1
45.5%
51.7%
P2
44.6%
49.3%
P3
44.9%
46.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |