Scouting Report
Kirby Dach holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 38.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 40.7% vs Dach 43.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 63.2%
Defensive zone
Dach 60.6%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 51.6%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Roslovic
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Roslovic
Dach
Last 7: Roslovic 3-4 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Dach
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
0
2
Roslovic
Dach
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
1
Roslovic
Dach
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (542)
42.7% (157)
-4.1%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
31.3% (32)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Roslovic has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Roslovic is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Roslovic shoots right. Dach is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Dach
Home
39.6% (293)
40.5% (111)
Away
38.7% (300)
40.0% (80)
By Period
Roslovic
Dach
P1
40.0%
35.4%
P2
34.7%
39.7%
P3
42.2%
45.6%
Final 5 min
34.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
39.1%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:19 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |