Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Johnson 49.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 66.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 56.8%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 51.3%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Roslovic
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Roslovic
Johnson
Last 7: Roslovic 3-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Roslovic
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Roslovic
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
49.8% (5,396)
-4.9%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
54.6% (885)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
42.3% (707)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,065).
Roslovic shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Johnson
Home
44.0% (1,737)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Roslovic
Johnson
P1
45.5%
50.1%
P2
44.6%
50.6%
P3
44.9%
48.4%
OT
31.8%
42.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |