Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Studnicka on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Studnicka wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Studnicka 45.7% vs Staal 55.3% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Studnicka 50.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Studnicka
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Studnicka
Staal
Last 8: Studnicka 4-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Studnicka
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Studnicka
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Studnicka
3
1
Studnicka
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Studnicka
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (557)
55.9% (14,620)
-11.6%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
62.7% (1,745)
-44.5%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (39)
48.0% (2,896)
+13.5%
On power play, Staal has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Studnicka is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (457).
Studnicka shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Studnicka
Staal
Home
47.7% (279)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
42.7% (328)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Studnicka
Staal
P1
41.6%
55.2%
P2
45.3%
55.9%
P3
48.5%
54.9%
Final 5 min
39.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Studnicka
40.0%▬
39.5%
45.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Jack Studnicka |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Studnicka |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Studnicka |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Jack Studnicka |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |