Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Studnicka on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Studnicka wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Studnicka 45.7% vs Eller 50.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 54.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 69.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Studnicka
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Studnicka
Eller
Last 7: Studnicka 4-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Studnicka
2
0
Studnicka
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Studnicka
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Studnicka
2
1
Studnicka
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Studnicka
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (557)
51.1% (10,296)
-6.8%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
52.8% (621)
-34.6%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (39)
46.7% (1,751)
+14.8%
On power play, Eller has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Studnicka is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (457).
Studnicka shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Studnicka
Eller
Home
47.7% (279)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
42.7% (328)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Studnicka
Eller
P1
41.6%
51.2%
P2
45.3%
50.1%
P3
48.5%
50.2%
Final 5 min
39.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Studnicka
40.0%▬
39.5%
45.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| May 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Jack Studnicka |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Studnicka |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Jack Studnicka |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 10:44 | Neutral | Jack Studnicka |