Jacob de la Rose vs Jason Spezza
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rose wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 44.3% vs Spezza 54.7% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rose 81.8%
Defensive zone
Rose 91.4%
Neutral zone
Rose 83.1%
Result
Jacob de la Rose favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Rose
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Rose
Spezza
Last 9: Rose 1-8 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Rose
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Rose
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
4
Rose
Spezza
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,358)
54.4% (7,990)
-10.4%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
56.8% (1,726)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (139)
52.7% (643)
-9.5%
On even strength, Spezza has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Rose is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Rose shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Rose
Spezza
Home
46.0% (781)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
41.8% (737)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Rose
Spezza
P1
45.9%
55.7%
P2
43.5%
54.4%
P3
42.1%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
42.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 02:20 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |