Jacob de la Rose vs Joe Pavelski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rose on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rose wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 44.3% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 87.0%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 58.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 71.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Rose
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Rose
Pavelski
Last 9: Rose 5-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
3
Rose
Pavelski
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rose
3
1
Rose
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,358)
53.6% (8,791)
-9.6%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
58.2% (2,122)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (139)
50.9% (1,138)
-7.7%
On power play, Pavelski has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Rose is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Rose shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Rose
Pavelski
Home
46.0% (781)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
41.8% (737)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Rose
Pavelski
P1
45.9%
53.5%
P2
43.5%
55.2%
P3
42.1%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
42.2%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |