Jacob de la Rose vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rose on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rose wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Rose 44.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 82.3%
Defensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 69.7%
Neutral zone Nugent-Hopkins 79.5%
Result Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Rose Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 3 (8 meetings)
5
3
Rose Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Rose 5-3 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Rose
3
0
Rose Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rose
2
1
Rose Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Rose Nugent-Hopkins
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Rose
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (234)
52.1% (351)
-9.8%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
57.1% (14)
-40.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
35.9% (39)
+17.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +40.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Rose is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Rose shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Rose
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
40.7% (140)
50.0% (198)
Away
45.5% (134)
51.5% (206)
By Period
Rose
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.9%
52.1%
P2
41.3%
48.8%
P3
40.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
35.7%
44.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%
44.5%
43.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%
50.0%
50.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 18, 2019 3 14:14 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 18, 2019 1 08:01 Offensive Jacob de la Rose
Oct 29, 2019 3 10:27 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 29, 2019 1 16:39 Offensive Jacob de la Rose
Oct 29, 2019 1 16:31 Offensive Jacob de la Rose
Oct 18, 2019 3 03:39 Defensive Jacob de la Rose
Oct 18, 2019 2 03:47 Defensive Jacob de la Rose
Oct 18, 2019 1 14:57 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins