Jacob de la Rose vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rose on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rose wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 44.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 82.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 79.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Rose
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Rose
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Rose 5-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rose
3
0
Rose
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rose
2
1
Rose
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Rose
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (234)
52.1% (351)
-9.8%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
57.1% (14)
-40.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
35.9% (39)
+17.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Rose is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Rose shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Rose
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
40.7% (140)
50.0% (198)
Away
45.5% (134)
51.5% (206)
By Period
Rose
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.9%
52.1%
P2
41.3%
48.8%
P3
40.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
35.7%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
43.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2019 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 18, 2019 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |