Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rose wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 44.0% vs Kuraly 53.2% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rose 86.0%
Defensive zone
Rose 83.7%
Neutral zone
Rose 83.0%
Result
Jacob de la Rose favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Rose
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Rose
Kuraly
Last 8: Rose 1-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rose
1
0
Rose
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
Rose
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Rose
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (346)
54.5% (464)
-12.9%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
0.0% (1)
+71.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
50.0% (66)
-5.6%
On power play, Rose has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rose is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Rose shoots left. Kuraly is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Rose
Kuraly
Home
47.0% (217)
52.3% (281)
Away
36.2% (163)
55.6% (250)
By Period
Rose
Kuraly
P1
43.3%
56.0%
P2
43.3%
60.8%
P3
40.0%
44.3%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.6%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
42.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |