Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rose wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 43.8% vs Bozak 53.0% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 55.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 50.8%
Neutral zone
Rose 51.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Rose
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rose
Bozak
Last 5: Rose 2-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rose
1
0
Rose
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Rose
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Rose
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (140)
53.8% (1,244)
-14.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
53.1% (356)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
49.1% (175)
-4.7%
On even strength, Bozak has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Rose is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Rose shoots left. Bozak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,145).
Home / Away
Rose
Bozak
Home
47.2% (72)
57.7% (892)
Away
34.1% (88)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Rose
Bozak
P1
40.4%
54.0%
P2
35.6%
54.4%
P3
46.5%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
41.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
40.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |