Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Josefson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 42.9% vs Josefson 48.6% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 58.7%
Defensive zone
Josefson 80.6%
Neutral zone
Josefson 66.6%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Malkin
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Malkin
Josefson
Last 5: Malkin 3-2 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
0
1
Malkin
Josefson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Josefson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Josefson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (722)
47.2% (513)
-4.7%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
57.0% (93)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
45.9% (61)
-20.9%
On power play, Josefson has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Malkin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (508).
Malkin shoots left. Josefson is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Malkin
Josefson
Home
43.3% (406)
51.6% (351)
Away
40.4% (349)
44.9% (316)
By Period
Malkin
Josefson
P1
39.3%
46.3%
P2
43.1%
51.2%
P3
43.8%
48.2%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.0%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |