Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Josefson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 50.9% vs Stoll 54.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Josefson 68.6%
Defensive zone
Josefson 70.5%
Neutral zone
Josefson 67.4%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Josefson
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Josefson
Stoll
Last 6: Josefson 2-4 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Stoll
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Josefson
Stoll
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
3
Josefson
Stoll
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (301)
56.2% (853)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
53.3% (135)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (39)
51.5% (200)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Josefson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Josefson shoots left. Stoll is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Josefson
Stoll
Home
53.7% (216)
60.0% (620)
Away
47.1% (138)
49.7% (584)
By Period
Josefson
Stoll
P1
51.9%
55.4%
P2
50.8%
54.6%
P3
50.4%
54.6%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
51.1%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 14:40 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |