Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.8% vs Spezza 54.7% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Josefson 77.0%
Defensive zone
Josefson 90.0%
Neutral zone
Josefson 78.2%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Josefson
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Josefson
Spezza
Last 10: Josefson 2-8 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
4
Josefson
Spezza
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
3
Josefson
Spezza
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Josefson
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,339)
54.4% (7,990)
-5.6%
Power Play
51.9% (185)
56.8% (1,726)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (312)
52.7% (643)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Josefson is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (958).
Josefson shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Josefson
Spezza
Home
50.5% (1,517)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
46.8% (1,329)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Josefson
Spezza
P1
46.4%
55.7%
P2
50.1%
54.4%
P3
49.8%
54.1%
OT
37.5%
51.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2016 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 4, 2016 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |