Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 49.4% vs Spezza 53.7% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 55.0%
Defensive zone
Josefson 82.9%
Neutral zone
Josefson 69.3%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Josefson
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Josefson
Spezza
Last 5: Josefson 1-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Josefson
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Josefson
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Josefson
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (465)
53.0% (998)
-4.2%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
58.5% (248)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (98)
50.0% (16)
+2.0%
On power play, Spezza has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Josefson is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Josefson shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Josefson
Spezza
Home
52.6% (268)
56.4% (626)
Away
46.5% (318)
51.7% (636)
By Period
Josefson
Spezza
P1
44.6%
56.9%
P2
51.2%
51.9%
P3
52.2%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
47.1%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
49.3%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |