Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 51.3% vs Mitchell 54.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 75.5%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 61.8%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 75.0%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Josefson
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Josefson
Mitchell
Last 8: Josefson 5-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Josefson
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
4
1
Josefson
Mitchell
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Josefson
Mitchell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (290)
55.7% (485)
-4.3%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
58.3% (12)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
51.2% (41)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Josefson has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Josefson is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Josefson shoots left. Mitchell is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Home / Away
Josefson
Mitchell
Home
55.7% (185)
61.9% (265)
Away
46.1% (128)
49.1% (273)
By Period
Josefson
Mitchell
P1
45.5%
54.9%
P2
51.3%
56.8%
P3
59.2%
54.5%
Final 5 min
57.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
51.8%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |