Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 25-16 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Josefson 70.8%
Defensive zone
Josefson 89.6%
Neutral zone
Josefson 75.6%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Josefson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
25
(41 meetings)
16
25
Josefson
Tavares
Last 10: Josefson 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
18
Josefson
Tavares
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
9
3
Josefson
Tavares
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Josefson
Tavares
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,339)
54.0% (16,108)
-5.2%
Power Play
51.9% (185)
56.5% (4,283)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (312)
50.6% (620)
-4.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Josefson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,888).
Josefson shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Josefson
Tavares
Home
50.5% (1,517)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
46.8% (1,329)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Josefson
Tavares
P1
46.4%
55.0%
P2
50.1%
54.1%
P3
49.8%
54.1%
OT
37.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |