Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.3%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 50.9% vs Tavares 51.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 67.6%
Defensive zone
Josefson 67.8%
Neutral zone
Josefson 53.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Josefson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Josefson
Tavares
Last 9: Josefson 4-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Josefson
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Josefson
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Josefson
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (301)
51.5% (1,232)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
51.1% (305)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (39)
36.7% (30)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Josefson has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Josefson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Josefson shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Josefson
Tavares
Home
53.7% (216)
52.8% (781)
Away
47.1% (138)
49.9% (804)
By Period
Josefson
Tavares
P1
51.9%
52.8%
P2
50.8%
52.1%
P3
50.4%
48.7%
OT
100.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
51.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |