Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.6% vs Tavares 53.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Josefson 56.4%
Defensive zone
Josefson 85.3%
Neutral zone
Josefson 70.5%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Josefson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Josefson
Tavares
Last 5: Josefson 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Josefson
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (513)
54.0% (1,077)
-6.8%
Power Play
57.0% (93)
54.5% (275)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (61)
50.0% (18)
-4.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Josefson is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Josefson shoots left. Tavares is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Josefson
Tavares
Home
51.6% (351)
56.8% (655)
Away
44.9% (316)
51.6% (715)
By Period
Josefson
Tavares
P1
46.3%
54.1%
P2
51.2%
53.9%
P3
48.2%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
54.2%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2015 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |