Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Josefson wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 45.5% vs Tavares 52.7% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.6%
Defensive zone
Josefson 78.7%
Neutral zone
Josefson 60.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Josefson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Josefson
Tavares
Last 8: Josefson 3-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
5
Josefson
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (272)
52.9% (1,239)
-8.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
54.7% (309)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
50.0% (178)
-15.1%
On power play, Josefson has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Josefson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Josefson shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Home / Away
Josefson
Tavares
Home
43.5% (168)
55.0% (864)
Away
44.7% (152)
50.8% (862)
By Period
Josefson
Tavares
P1
42.1%
51.8%
P2
46.0%
51.4%
P3
44.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |