Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.0%). Look for Josefson on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 50.9% vs Staal 51.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Josefson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 53.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 67.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Josefson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Josefson
Staal
Last 10: Josefson 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Josefson
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Josefson
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
5
1
Josefson
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (301)
52.3% (790)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
54.4% (114)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (39)
45.0% (218)
+1.2%
On power play, Staal has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Josefson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Josefson shoots left. Staal is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Josefson
Staal
Home
53.7% (216)
54.9% (628)
Away
47.1% (138)
46.4% (530)
By Period
Josefson
Staal
P1
51.9%
50.3%
P2
50.8%
52.4%
P3
50.4%
50.4%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
51.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 19:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |