Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.4%). Look for Aucoin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.8% vs Aucoin 48.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Aucoin leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Aucoin 53.0%
Defensive zone
Josefson 62.0%
Neutral zone
Josefson 53.9%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Josefson
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Josefson
Aucoin
Last 10: Josefson 2-8 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
1
4
Josefson
Aucoin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
1
2
Josefson
Aucoin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
0
2
Josefson
Aucoin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,339)
47.8% (448)
+1.0%
Power Play
51.9% (185)
54.8% (31)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (312)
75.0% (4)
-29.2%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Josefson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,888).
Josefson shoots left. Aucoin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Josefson
Aucoin
Home
50.5% (1,517)
52.6% (215)
Away
46.8% (1,329)
45.1% (268)
By Period
Josefson
Aucoin
P1
46.4%
45.8%
P2
50.1%
49.2%
P3
49.8%
51.9%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.8%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |