Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.5%). Look for Aucoin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Josefson wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aucoin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.8% vs Aucoin 48.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 53.5%
Defensive zone
Josefson 65.4%
Neutral zone
Josefson 54.0%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Josefson
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Josefson
Aucoin
Last 8: Josefson 2-6 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
1
4
Josefson
Aucoin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
1
2
Josefson
Aucoin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (178)
47.8% (320)
+2.8%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
59.1% (22)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
50.0% (2)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Josefson is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Josefson shoots left. Aucoin is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Josefson
Aucoin
Home
50.0% (120)
52.6% (154)
Away
46.6% (116)
45.3% (190)
By Period
Josefson
Aucoin
P1
46.4%
42.5%
P2
50.6%
52.9%
P3
48.8%
52.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.3%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |