Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 49.4% vs Hayes 38.0% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 76.4%
Defensive zone
Josefson 68.7%
Neutral zone
Josefson 56.9%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Josefson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Josefson
Hayes
Last 7: Josefson 3-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
2
1
Josefson
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Josefson
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (465)
37.1% (642)
+11.7%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
32.1% (28)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (98)
0.0% (11)
+52.0%
On penalty kill, Josefson has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Josefson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Josefson shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Josefson
Hayes
Home
52.6% (268)
36.7% (354)
Away
46.5% (318)
35.8% (327)
By Period
Josefson
Hayes
P1
44.6%
33.6%
P2
51.2%
38.3%
P3
52.2%
37.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
49.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |