Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Josefson wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 45.5% vs Eller 49.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 50.7%
Defensive zone
Josefson 71.6%
Neutral zone
Josefson 60.6%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Josefson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Josefson
Eller
Last 8: Josefson 3-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Josefson
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
3
0
Josefson
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Josefson
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (272)
50.1% (749)
-5.2%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
46.1% (76)
+28.9%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
46.6% (131)
-11.7%
On power play, Josefson has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Josefson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Josefson shoots left. Eller is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Josefson
Eller
Home
43.5% (168)
51.4% (465)
Away
44.7% (152)
47.3% (491)
By Period
Josefson
Eller
P1
42.1%
47.9%
P2
46.0%
51.6%
P3
44.0%
47.7%
Final 5 min
52.5%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 01:18 | Neutral | Lars Eller |