Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 50.2%). Look for Josefson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 49.4% vs Arcobello 50.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 89.5%
Defensive zone
Arcobello 54.8%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 67.5%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Josefson
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Josefson
Arcobello
Last 9: Josefson 7-2 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
2
Josefson
Arcobello
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
4
0
Josefson
Arcobello
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
2
0
Josefson
Arcobello
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (465)
50.0% (858)
-1.2%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
62.1% (58)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (98)
26.1% (23)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Josefson has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Josefson is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Josefson shoots left. Arcobello is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Josefson
Arcobello
Home
52.6% (268)
52.7% (478)
Away
46.5% (318)
47.5% (461)
By Period
Josefson
Arcobello
P1
44.6%
52.4%
P2
51.2%
51.7%
P3
52.2%
46.4%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
49.3%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 23, 2015 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Nov 21, 2014 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 21, 2014 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 21, 2014 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 21, 2014 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Nov 21, 2014 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 21, 2014 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |