Scouting Report
Max Talbot holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Josefson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.0% vs Talbot 48.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Josefson 58.1%
Defensive zone
Talbot 68.1%
Neutral zone
Talbot 53.7%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Josefson
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Josefson
Talbot
Last 7: Josefson 5-2 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Talbot
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
4
2
Josefson
Talbot
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (169)
50.5% (642)
-2.0%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
33.3% (18)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.5% (207)
+56.5%
On penalty kill, Josefson has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Josefson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Josefson shoots left. Talbot is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Josefson
Talbot
Home
44.8% (116)
49.9% (427)
Away
50.0% (86)
47.4% (447)
By Period
Josefson
Talbot
P1
47.1%
48.4%
P2
48.1%
48.5%
P3
45.9%
48.8%
Final 5 min
52.2%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.0%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |