Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Josefson wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.8% vs Bjugstad 44.4% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 65.3%
Defensive zone
Josefson 62.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Josefson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Josefson
Bjugstad
Last 6: Josefson 3-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
2
0
Josefson
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
Josefson
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (178)
37.8% (119)
+12.8%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
60.0% (10)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
66.7% (3)
-28.9%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Josefson is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Josefson shoots left. Bjugstad is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Josefson
Bjugstad
Home
50.0% (120)
40.7% (59)
Away
46.6% (116)
39.7% (73)
By Period
Josefson
Bjugstad
P1
46.4%
44.7%
P2
50.6%
38.1%
P3
48.8%
37.2%
Final 5 min
50.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |