Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 49.4% vs Gaustad 55.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Josefson 94.7%
Defensive zone
Josefson 60.9%
Neutral zone
Josefson 75.3%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Josefson
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Josefson
Gaustad
Last 5: Josefson 0-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Josefson
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Josefson
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (465)
57.7% (821)
-8.9%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
56.3% (16)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (98)
52.3% (260)
-0.3%
On even strength, Gaustad has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Josefson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Josefson shoots left. Gaustad is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Josefson
Gaustad
Home
52.6% (268)
58.9% (577)
Away
46.5% (318)
53.7% (520)
By Period
Josefson
Gaustad
P1
44.6%
53.1%
P2
51.2%
57.9%
P3
52.2%
57.8%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
49.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 09:55 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |